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FROM PREDICTION TO ACTIONONE JOURNEY / THREE LAYERS

Understand / 01

One piece at a time.

Where does the next token come from?

TRY THISChange the context or temperature, then choose the next token.

TEACHING SIMULATION0 / 3 TOKENS

The model’s output scores can be normalized into a distribution. Here the scores are authored, and the probabilities are computed.

The sky is

“blue”64.5%
“cloudy”23.7%
“grey”11.8%

Higher temperature spreads probability more evenly. Probability is not factual confidence.

Teaching simulation

What this helps you see

A model assigns probabilities to possible next tokens using the text so far. A token may be a word, part of a word, or punctuation. The chosen token joins the context for the next step.

Keep the limits in view.

The scores below are authored for a small toy vocabulary. They are not probabilities or activations measured from a commercial model.

Follow the sources
Ask about what you’re seeing

Authored learning guide · no live AI generation or web search

NEXT QUESTION

What if the next output requests a tool?